League
UEFA Nations League
This competition is played in groups. Group tables cannot be built reliably from the data we hold, so no standings are shown — we would rather show none than a wrong one.
Recent results
Teams in this league
- Albania
- Andorra
- Armenia
- Austria
- Azerbaijan
- Belarus
- Belgium
- Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Bulgaria
- Croatia
- Cyprus
- Czechia
- Denmark
- England
- Estonia
- Faroe Islands
- Finland
- France
- Georgia
- Germany
- Gibraltar
- Greece
- Hungary
- Iceland
- Ireland
- Israel
- Italy
- Kazakhstan
- Kosovo
- Latvia
- Liechtenstein
- Lithuania
- Luxembourg
- Malta
- Moldova
- Montenegro
- Netherlands
- North Macedonia
- Northern Ireland
- Norway
- Poland
- Portugal
- Romania
- San Marino
- Scotland
- Serbia
- Slovakia
- Slovenia
- Spain
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- Türkiye
- Ukraine
- Wales
The model's record in this league
The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:
| Model at least | Predictions | Realised |
|---|---|---|
| ≥ 50% | 280 | 63% |
| ≥ 60% | 148 | 72% |
| ≥ 70% | 80 | 85% |
| Model at least | Predictions | Realised |
|---|---|---|
| ≥ 75% | 510 | 83% |
| ≥ 80% | 313 | 86% |
| ≥ 85% | 171 | 89% |
And if it had to answer every match?
- Model
- 52%
- Always pick home
- 43%
- Picking at random
- 33%
- Reachable ceiling
- 75%
Why that ceiling is not 100%: 25% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.
Matches measured: 539. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden. The record also covers this competition's past editions. No goal-market predictions are published for national-team matches.
Full track record →