League · Spain

Segunda División 2025-26 statistics

2025-26 season

Matches played: 462
Goals per match: 2.63
Home win: 45%
Draw: 25%
Away win: 30%
3+ goals: 50%
Both teams scored: 56%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Racing Santander	42	25	7	10	90	61	+29	82
2	Deportivo La Coruna	42	22	11	9	65	44	+21	77
3	Almeria	42	22	8	12	81	63	+18	74
4	Malaga	42	21	10	11	75	52	+23	73
5	Las Palmas	42	20	13	9	57	40	+17	73
6	Castellón	42	20	12	10	70	51	+19	72
7	Burgos	42	20	12	10	48	33	+15	72
8	Eibar	42	19	10	13	52	40	+12	67
9	Sporting Gijon	42	18	7	17	60	54	+6	61
10	Cordoba	42	17	10	15	57	61	-4	61
11	AD Ceuta FC	42	17	10	15	51	63	-12	61
12	Albacete	42	16	11	15	56	55	+1	59
13	FC Andorra	42	16	10	16	62	54	+8	58
14	Granada CF	42	12	12	18	50	56	-6	48
15	Real Sociedad II	42	12	11	19	52	61	-9	47
16	Leganes	42	11	13	18	43	51	-8	46
17	Valladolid	42	12	10	20	44	57	-13	46
18	Cadiz	42	11	10	21	41	61	-20	43
19	Mirandes	42	10	10	22	47	69	-22	40
20	Huesca	42	9	11	22	41	63	-22	38
21	Cultural Leonesa	42	9	10	23	39	68	-29	37
22	Zaragoza	42	8	12	22	35	59	-24	36

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

Season simulation

The remaining fixtures were played out 10,000 times using the model's current probabilities. Percentages below are how often each team finished in that position.

Team	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Pts (avg)
Las Palmas	25.3%	67.7%	0.0%	71.8
Almeria	18.0%	56.4%	0.2%	69.4
Castellón	16.8%	55.9%	0.1%	69.3
FC Andorra	14.2%	51.5%	0.1%	68.3
Burgos	7.7%	36.9%	0.4%	65.7
Mallorca	6.5%	33.7%	0.7%	64.8
Eibar	3.3%	21.6%	1.2%	62.0
Sporting Gijon	2.6%	18.1%	1.7%	60.7
Tenerife	2.1%	15.5%	2.1%	60.0
Sabadell	0.6%	6.4%	5.9%	56.0
Oviedo	0.5%	6.3%	5.3%	56.0
Celta de Vigo II	0.7%	6.0%	6.4%	55.6
Granada CF	0.4%	5.3%	7.4%	55.2
Albacete	0.4%	5.8%	7.4%	55.1
Cordoba	0.4%	5.0%	7.7%	55.0
Leganes	0.3%	3.3%	9.6%	53.7
Real Sociedad II	0.1%	2.3%	13.8%	52.2
Girona	0.1%	1.7%	18.0%	50.8
Valladolid	0.0%	0.3%	42.3%	45.3
Cadiz	0.0%	0.2%	45.9%	44.6
AD Ceuta FC	0.0%	0.2%	47.9%	44.4
Eldense	0.0%	0.0%	76.0%	38.8

Method: ratings are frozen as of the run date; ties break by points-GD-goals, country-specific rules not applied. Pairings below the publishing threshold use the model's prior rating. The table refreshes whenever the script is re-run.

Generated: 2026-08-23 · 3 · 10,000

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	558	59%
≥ 60%	136	72%
≥ 70%	23	78%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	1064	82%
≥ 80%	435	85%
≥ 85%	123	88%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	1009	59%
≥ 55%	437	63%
≥ 60%	121	71%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 48%
Always pick home: 45%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 71%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 29% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 1783. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →