League · Spain

Segunda División 2024-25 statistics

2024-25 season

Matches played: 462
Goals per match: 2.53
Home win: 46%
Draw: 28%
Away win: 26%
3+ goals: 48%
Both teams scored: 53%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levante	42	22	13	7	69	42	+27	79
2	Elche	42	22	11	9	59	34	+25	77
3	Mirandes	42	22	9	11	59	40	+19	75
4	Oviedo	42	21	12	9	56	42	+14	75
5	Racing Santander	42	20	11	11	65	51	+14	71
6	Almeria	42	19	12	11	72	55	+17	69
7	Granada CF	42	18	11	13	65	54	+11	65
8	Huesca	42	18	10	14	58	49	+9	64
9	Eibar	42	15	13	14	44	41	+3	58
10	Albacete	42	15	13	14	57	57	0	58
11	Sporting Gijon	42	14	14	14	57	54	+3	56
12	Cadiz	42	14	13	15	55	53	+2	55
13	Cordoba	42	14	13	15	59	63	-4	55
14	Burgos	42	15	10	17	41	48	-7	55
15	Castellón	42	14	11	17	65	63	+2	53
16	Deportivo La Coruna	42	13	14	15	56	54	+2	53
17	Malaga	42	12	17	13	42	46	-4	53
18	Zaragoza	42	13	12	17	56	63	-7	51
19	Eldense	42	11	12	19	44	63	-19	45
20	Tenerife	42	8	12	22	35	55	-20	36
21	Racing Ferrol	42	6	12	24	22	64	-42	30
22	FC Cartagena	42	6	5	31	33	78	-45	23

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

Season simulation

The remaining fixtures were played out 10,000 times using the model's current probabilities. Percentages below are how often each team finished in that position.

Team	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Pts (avg)
Las Palmas	25.3%	67.7%	0.0%	71.8
Almeria	18.0%	56.4%	0.2%	69.4
Castellón	16.8%	55.9%	0.1%	69.3
FC Andorra	14.2%	51.5%	0.1%	68.3
Burgos	7.7%	36.9%	0.4%	65.7
Mallorca	6.5%	33.7%	0.7%	64.8
Eibar	3.3%	21.6%	1.2%	62.0
Sporting Gijon	2.6%	18.1%	1.7%	60.7
Tenerife	2.1%	15.5%	2.1%	60.0
Sabadell	0.6%	6.4%	5.9%	56.0
Oviedo	0.5%	6.3%	5.3%	56.0
Celta de Vigo II	0.7%	6.0%	6.4%	55.6
Granada CF	0.4%	5.3%	7.4%	55.2
Albacete	0.4%	5.8%	7.4%	55.1
Cordoba	0.4%	5.0%	7.7%	55.0
Leganes	0.3%	3.3%	9.6%	53.7
Real Sociedad II	0.1%	2.3%	13.8%	52.2
Girona	0.1%	1.7%	18.0%	50.8
Valladolid	0.0%	0.3%	42.3%	45.3
Cadiz	0.0%	0.2%	45.9%	44.6
AD Ceuta FC	0.0%	0.2%	47.9%	44.4
Eldense	0.0%	0.0%	76.0%	38.8

Method: ratings are frozen as of the run date; ties break by points-GD-goals, country-specific rules not applied. Pairings below the publishing threshold use the model's prior rating. The table refreshes whenever the script is re-run.

Generated: 2026-08-23 · 3 · 10,000

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	558	59%
≥ 60%	136	72%
≥ 70%	23	78%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	1064	82%
≥ 80%	435	85%
≥ 85%	123	88%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	1009	59%
≥ 55%	437	63%
≥ 60%	121	71%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 48%
Always pick home: 45%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 71%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 29% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 1783. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →