Leagues

League · Spain

Segunda División 2026-27 statistics

2026-27 season

Matches played
55
Goals per match
2.33
Home win
42%
Draw
24%
Away win
35%
3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
38%

Table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Castellón541072+513
2Eibar5401103+712
3Mallorca531172+510
4Tenerife531173+410
5Las Palmas531176+110
6Almeria530284+49
7Oviedo522141+38
8Real Sociedad II522186+28
9Burgos522186+28
10Granada CF522165+18
11Sabadell52214408
12Leganes52213308
13Girona5212107+37
14Celta de Vigo II521278-17
15Sporting Gijon521223-17
16Eldense512236-35
17Valladolid511327-54
18FC Andorra5104810-23
19Cadiz503257-23
20Cordoba5104712-53
21Albacete501438-51
22AD Ceuta FC5005215-130

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

Season simulation

The remaining fixtures were played out 10,000 times using the model's current probabilities. Percentages below are how often each team finished in that position.

TeamTitleTop 4Bottom 3Pts (avg)
Las Palmas25.3%67.7%0.0%71.8
Almeria18.0%56.4%0.2%69.4
Castellón16.8%55.9%0.1%69.3
FC Andorra14.2%51.5%0.1%68.3
Burgos7.7%36.9%0.4%65.7
Mallorca6.5%33.7%0.7%64.8
Eibar3.3%21.6%1.2%62.0
Sporting Gijon2.6%18.1%1.7%60.7
Tenerife2.1%15.5%2.1%60.0
Sabadell0.6%6.4%5.9%56.0
Oviedo0.5%6.3%5.3%56.0
Celta de Vigo II0.7%6.0%6.4%55.6
Granada CF0.4%5.3%7.4%55.2
Albacete0.4%5.8%7.4%55.1
Cordoba0.4%5.0%7.7%55.0
Leganes0.3%3.3%9.6%53.7
Real Sociedad II0.1%2.3%13.8%52.2
Girona0.1%1.7%18.0%50.8
Valladolid0.0%0.3%42.3%45.3
Cadiz0.0%0.2%45.9%44.6
AD Ceuta FC0.0%0.2%47.9%44.4
Eldense0.0%0.0%76.0%38.8

Method: ratings are frozen as of the run date; ties break by points-GD-goals, country-specific rules not applied. Pairings below the publishing threshold use the model's prior rating. The table refreshes whenever the script is re-run.

Generated: 2026-08-23 · 3 · 10,000

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at leastPredictionsRealised
50%55859%
60%13672%
70%2378%
Double chance
Model at leastPredictionsRealised
75%106482%
80%43585%
85%12388%
Goals markets
Model at leastPredictionsRealised
50%100959%
55%43763%
60%12171%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model
48%
Always pick home
45%
Picking at random
33%
Reachable ceiling
71%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 29% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 1783. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record

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