League · Spain

Segunda División 2023-24 statistics

2023-24 season

Matches played: 462
Goals per match: 2.25
Home win: 47%
Draw: 30%
Away win: 23%
3+ goals: 37%
Both teams scored: 44%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leganes	42	20	14	8	56	27	+29	74
2	Valladolid	42	21	9	12	51	36	+15	72
3	Eibar	42	21	8	13	72	48	+24	71
4	Espanyol	42	17	18	7	59	40	+19	69
5	Sporting Gijon	42	18	11	13	51	42	+9	65
6	Oviedo	42	17	13	12	55	39	+16	64
7	Racing Santander	42	18	10	14	63	55	+8	64
8	Levante	42	13	20	9	49	45	+4	59
9	Burgos	42	16	11	15	52	54	-2	59
10	Racing Ferrol	42	15	14	13	49	52	-3	59
11	Elche	42	16	11	15	43	46	-3	59
12	Tenerife	42	15	11	16	38	41	-3	56
13	Zaragoza	42	12	15	15	42	42	0	51
14	Albacete	42	12	15	15	50	56	-6	51
15	FC Cartagena	42	14	9	19	37	51	-14	51
16	Eldense	42	12	14	16	46	56	-10	50
17	Huesca	42	11	16	15	36	33	+3	49
18	Mirandes	42	12	13	17	47	55	-8	49
19	Amorebieta	42	11	12	19	37	53	-16	45
20	Alcorcon	42	10	14	18	32	53	-21	44
21	FC Andorra	42	11	10	21	33	53	-20	43
22	Villarreal II	42	11	10	21	41	62	-21	43

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

Season simulation

The remaining fixtures were played out 10,000 times using the model's current probabilities. Percentages below are how often each team finished in that position.

Team	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Pts (avg)
Las Palmas	25.3%	67.7%	0.0%	71.8
Almeria	18.0%	56.4%	0.2%	69.4
Castellón	16.8%	55.9%	0.1%	69.3
FC Andorra	14.2%	51.5%	0.1%	68.3
Burgos	7.7%	36.9%	0.4%	65.7
Mallorca	6.5%	33.7%	0.7%	64.8
Eibar	3.3%	21.6%	1.2%	62.0
Sporting Gijon	2.6%	18.1%	1.7%	60.7
Tenerife	2.1%	15.5%	2.1%	60.0
Sabadell	0.6%	6.4%	5.9%	56.0
Oviedo	0.5%	6.3%	5.3%	56.0
Celta de Vigo II	0.7%	6.0%	6.4%	55.6
Granada CF	0.4%	5.3%	7.4%	55.2
Albacete	0.4%	5.8%	7.4%	55.1
Cordoba	0.4%	5.0%	7.7%	55.0
Leganes	0.3%	3.3%	9.6%	53.7
Real Sociedad II	0.1%	2.3%	13.8%	52.2
Girona	0.1%	1.7%	18.0%	50.8
Valladolid	0.0%	0.3%	42.3%	45.3
Cadiz	0.0%	0.2%	45.9%	44.6
AD Ceuta FC	0.0%	0.2%	47.9%	44.4
Eldense	0.0%	0.0%	76.0%	38.8

Method: ratings are frozen as of the run date; ties break by points-GD-goals, country-specific rules not applied. Pairings below the publishing threshold use the model's prior rating. The table refreshes whenever the script is re-run.

Generated: 2026-08-23 · 3 · 10,000

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	558	59%
≥ 60%	136	72%
≥ 70%	23	78%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	1064	82%
≥ 80%	435	85%
≥ 85%	123	88%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	1009	59%
≥ 55%	437	63%
≥ 60%	121	71%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 48%
Always pick home: 45%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 71%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 29% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 1783. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →