Segunda División · Spain · Regular Season - 2

Celta de Vigo II–FC Andorra

4–2

HT 0–0

Kick-off: Monday, 24 August 2026 at 17:00
Status: Match Finished
Venue: Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo

What the model said, and what happened

Incorrect — we gave this result 29%double chance: correct

This verdict goes into the public record unchanged; we do not filter out the ones we get wrong. The model's track record

Goals and red cards

49'FC AndorraHugo López (assist: Hugo Solozábal)
52'FC AndorraHugo López (assist: M. Sidibe)
55'Celta de Vigo IIB. Somuah (assist: G. Miller)
87'Celta de Vigo IIA. Marin (assist: G. Miller)
90'Celta de Vigo IIA. Marin (assist: K. Ribes)
90'Celta de Vigo IIA. Antanon

Match statistics

Match statistics
Celta de Vigo II		FC Andorra
10	Shots	17
7	Shots on target	5
8	Shots inside the box	12
3	Goalkeeper saves	3
4	Corners	4
4	Offsides	3
36%	Possession	64%
310	Passes	562
219	Accurate passes

What we expected, and what happened

Shots Celta de Vigo II 10 · FC Andorra 17; on target 7 and 5.
FC Andorra kept the ball more (64%).

Referee

Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos, Spain→

7.11

yellows per match

0.44

reds per match

matches of data

9 matches is a small sample — these averages are noisy and should not be read as a tendency.

Model prediction

No probability is published for this match.

One of the teams has only 1 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.

13	Fouls	18

4	Yellow cards	3

0	Red cards	0

Week 2 of the season. This prediction was computed from previous seasons. Summer transfers, budget changes and squad rebuilds aren't in the ratings yet — the model can only see that a team has been rebuilt once new results come in.

We measured this: the bias is only pronounced in the opening week. In this week the model's overall accuracy does not separate from the rest of the season — that is, we found no measurable flaw. The one tendency across all opening weeks is that home wins are called slightly too often (said 43.0%, got 41.9%; n=583).

This sample is small and not statistically established, which is why we do not correct the model for it. The correction we tried (pulling probabilities toward the league average) didn't win on holdout, so it wasn't added. Read opening-week predictions with a little more caution.