League · France

Ligue 2 2023-24 statistics

2023-24 season

Matches played: 380
Goals per match: 2.46
Home win: 40%
Draw: 29%
Away win: 31%
3+ goals: 47%
Both teams scored: 49%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	38	21	11	6	72	36	+36	74
2	Angers	38	20	8	10	56	42	+14	68
3	Saint Etienne	38	19	8	11	48	31	+17	65
4	Rodez	38	16	12	10	62	51	+11	60
5	Paris FC	38	16	11	11	49	42	+7	59
6	Caen	38	17	7	14	51	45	+6	58
7	Laval	38	15	10	13	40	45	-5	55
8	Amiens	38	12	17	9	36	36	0	53
9	Guingamp	38	13	12	13	44	40	+4	51
10	PAU	38	13	12	13	60	57	+3	51
11	Grenoble	38	13	12	13	43	44	-1	51
12	Bordeaux	38	14	9	15	50	52	-2	51
13	Bastia	38	14	9	15	44	48	-4	51
14	Annecy	38	12	10	16	49	50	-1	46
15	Ajaccio	38	12	10	16	35	46	-11	46
16	Dunkerque	38	12	10	16	36	52	-16	46
17	Estac Troyes	38	9	15	14	43	50	-7	42
18	Quevilly	38	7	17	14	51	55	-4	38
19	Concarneau	38	10	8	20	39	57	-18	38
20	Valenciennes	38	5	12	21	26	55	-29	27

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

Season simulation

The remaining fixtures were played out 10,000 times using the model's current probabilities. Percentages below are how often each team finished in that position.

Team	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Pts (avg)
Saint Etienne	69.5%	97.1%	0.0%	69.6
Annecy	8.0%	60.4%	0.0%	58.4
Montpellier	6.3%	54.0%	0.1%	57.4
Metz	6.0%	54.6%	0.0%	57.4
Rodez	5.0%	50.2%	0.1%	56.5
Reims	3.5%	41.5%	0.1%	55.0
Dunkerque	1.1%	21.1%	0.8%	51.0
RED Star FC 93	0.5%	14.2%	1.3%	49.2
Guingamp	0.0%	2.5%	9.3%	42.4
Clermont Foot	0.0%	1.3%	15.4%	40.4
Laval	0.0%	1.0%	16.5%	40.2
Nancy	0.0%	0.9%	20.0%	39.0
Grenoble	0.0%	0.5%	23.0%	38.5
PAU	0.0%	0.3%	33.5%	36.4
Boulogne	0.0%	0.2%	35.0%	35.9
Dijon	0.0%	0.2%	37.4%	35.5
Sochaux	0.0%	0.1%	45.4%	34.2
Nantes	0.0%	0.0%	62.3%	31.7

Method: ratings are frozen as of the run date; ties break by points-GD-goals, country-specific rules not applied. Pairings below the publishing threshold use the model's prior rating. The table refreshes whenever the script is re-run.

Generated: 2026-08-23 · 3 · 10,000

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	396	59%
≥ 60%	123	71%
≥ 70%	19	79%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	721	81%
≥ 80%	291	84%
≥ 85%	93	87%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	1179	54%
≥ 55%	461	59%
≥ 60%	101	63%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 47%
Always pick home: 42%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 72%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 28% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 1304. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →