Leagues

League · Bulgaria

First League 2023-24 statistics

2023-24 season

Matches played
255
Goals per match
2.45
Home win
47%
Draw
21%
Away win
32%
3+ goals
47%
Both teams scored
40%

Table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Ludogorets3526458724+6382
2Cherno More Varna3522945626+3075
3CSKA Sofia3520785627+2967
4Levski Sofia3519795030+2064
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv35177115344+958
6Levski Krumovgrad351310124545049
7Botev Plovdiv30128104733+1444
8CSKA 194830111093026+443
9Arda Kardzhali30116133232039
10Slavia Sofia3096152845-1733
11Beroe3096152442-1833
12Hebar 19183086163244-1230
13Pirin Blagoevgrad3079142341-1830
14Lokomotiv Sofia3084182256-3428
15Botev Vratsa3064202253-3122
16Etar Veliko Tarnovo3035221756-3914

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at leastPredictionsRealised
50%51865%
60%30271%
70%13677%
Double chance
Model at leastPredictionsRealised
75%93283%
80%58987%
85%36789%
Goals markets
Model at leastPredictionsRealised
50%35847%
55%8347%
60%757%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model
53%
Always pick home
45%
Picking at random
33%
Reachable ceiling
76%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 24% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 958. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record

Upcoming matches