← Fixtures
La Liga · Spain · Regular Season - 9
- Kick-off
- Friday, 17 October 2025 at 19:00
- Status
- Match Finished
- Venue
- Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
What the model said, and what happened
Too close to call — we gave this result 36%
This verdict goes into the public record unchanged; we do not filter out the ones we get wrong. The model's track record
Goals and red cards
- 70'EspanyolK. Garcia
- 82'EspanyolPere Milla (assist: O. El Hilali)
Match statistics
| Oviedo | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 15 |
| 8 | Goalkeeper saves | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 61% | Possession | 39% |
| 528 | Passes | 321 |
| 467 | Accurate passes |
What we expected, and what happened
- Shots Oviedo 13 · Espanyol 19; on target 4 and 10.
- Oviedo kept the ball more (61%).
Referee
Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain→5.54
yellows per match
0.29
reds per match
24
matches of data
Model prediction
No probability is published for this match.
One of the teams has only 8 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.