Super League 1 · Greece · Regular Season - 3

Iraklis 1908–Asteras Tripolis

0–2

HT 0–1

Kick-off: Monday, 7 September 2026 at 15:00
Status: Match Finished

Goals and red cards

8'Iraklis 1908Edgar Yoel Bárcenas
73'Iraklis 1908Ivi López (penalty)

Match statistics

Match statistics
Iraklis 1908		Asteras Tripolis
6	Shots	14
2	Shots on target	5
3	Shots inside the box	11
5	Goalkeeper saves	0
4	Corners	7
0	Offsides	3
35%	Possession	65%
256	Passes	469
194	Accurate passes

What we expected, and what happened

Shots Iraklis 1908 6 · Asteras Tripolis 14; on target 2 and 5.
Asteras Tripolis kept the ball more (65%).

Referee

Konstantinos Katikos, Greece→

8.00

yellows per match

0.67

reds per match

matches of data

3 matches is a small sample — these averages are noisy and should not be read as a tendency.

Model prediction

No probability is published for this match.

One of the teams has only 2 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.

12	Fouls	15

3	Yellow cards	3

0	Red cards	0

Week 3 of the season. This prediction was computed from previous seasons. Summer transfers, budget changes and squad rebuilds aren't in the ratings yet — the model can only see that a team has been rebuilt once new results come in.

We measured this: the bias is only pronounced in the opening week. In this week the model's overall accuracy does not separate from the rest of the season — that is, we found no measurable flaw. The one tendency across all opening weeks is that home wins are called slightly too often (said 43.0%, got 41.9%; n=583).

This sample is small and not statistically established, which is why we do not correct the model for it. The correction we tried (pulling probabilities toward the league average) didn't win on holdout, so it wasn't added. Read opening-week predictions with a little more caution.