Ekstraklasa · Poland · Regular Season - 1

Lech Poznan–Cracovia Krakow

0–0

HT 0–0

Kick-off: Saturday, 25 July 2026 at 18:15
Status: Match Finished

Match statistics

Match statistics
Lech Poznan		Cracovia Krakow
18	Shots	9
7	Shots on target	1
9	Shots inside the box	6
1	Goalkeeper saves	7
9	Corners	6
1	Offsides	2
58%	Possession	42%
459	Passes	341
386	Accurate passes	267
9	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards

The measurements our data provider sent for this match. A row that was not measured shows “—”; writing 0 into an empty field would claim we measured it and found none.

What we expected, and what happened

Shots Lech Poznan 18 · Cracovia Krakow 9; on target 7 and 1.
Lech Poznan kept the ball more (58%).

Referee

Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland→

5.09

yellows per match

0.09

reds per match

matches of data

11 matches is a small sample — these averages are noisy and should not be read as a tendency.

Model prediction

No probability is published for this match.

This match's league is not one of the leagues we publish. We do not show a prediction whose accuracy we do not track on the record here.

0	Red cards	0

Week 1 of the season. This prediction was computed from previous seasons. Summer transfers, budget changes and squad rebuilds aren't in the ratings yet — the model can only see that a team has been rebuilt once new results come in.

We measured this and we're not hiding it: in the opening week of past seasons the model came in 3.3 points below the accuracy it claimed (n=220) — for the rest of the season it beats its own claim. The tendency points this way, though it is not proof on its own: in the opening week it slightly over-calls home wins (said 42.7%, got 39.5%) and slightly under-calls draws (said 26.1%, got 28.2%).

This sample is small and not statistically established, which is why we do not correct the model for it. The correction we tried (pulling probabilities toward the league average) didn't win on holdout, so it wasn't added. Read opening-week predictions with a little more caution.