Liga I · Romania · Regular Season - 3

Corvinul Hunedoara–Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

1–1

HT 1–1

Kick-off: Sunday, 2 August 2026 at 15:30
Status: Match Finished
Venue: Stadionul Francisc von Neumann, Arad

Goals and red cards

32'Corvinul HunedoaraM. Bratu (assist: A. Fabry)
34'Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheC. Matei (assist: Gustavo Cascardo)

Match statistics

Match statistics
Corvinul Hunedoara		Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
16	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	3
7	Shots inside the box	7
2	Goalkeeper saves	3
3	Corners	2
1	Offsides	1
45%	Possession	55%
413	Passes	527
343	Accurate passes

What we expected, and what happened

Shots Corvinul Hunedoara 16 · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 13; on target 4 and 3.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe kept the ball more (55%).

Referee

Horatiu Fesnic, Romania→

5.23

yellows per match

0.46

reds per match

matches of data

13 matches is a small sample — these averages are noisy and should not be read as a tendency.

Model prediction

No probability is published for this match.

This match's league is not one of the leagues we publish. We do not show a prediction whose accuracy we do not track on the record here.

13	Fouls	10

0	Yellow cards	3

0	Red cards	0

Week 3 of the season. This prediction was computed from previous seasons. Summer transfers, budget changes and squad rebuilds aren't in the ratings yet — the model can only see that a team has been rebuilt once new results come in.

We measured this: the bias is only pronounced in the opening week. In this week the model's overall accuracy does not separate from the rest of the season — that is, we found no measurable flaw. The one tendency across all opening weeks is that home wins are called slightly too often (said 43.0%, got 41.9%; n=583).

This sample is small and not statistically established, which is why we do not correct the model for it. The correction we tried (pulling probabilities toward the league average) didn't win on holdout, so it wasn't added. Read opening-week predictions with a little more caution.