Eliteserien · Norway · Regular Season - 3

Sarpsborg 08 FF–Start

1–1

HT 1–1

Kick-off: Monday, 6 April 2026 at 15:00
Status: Match Finished
Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg

Goals and red cards

33'StartJ. Cornelius (assist: E. Schulze)
35'Sarpsborg 08 FFC. Niyukuri (assist: M. Opoku)

Match statistics

Match statistics
Sarpsborg 08 FF		Start
17	Shots	7
5	Shots on target	1
12	Shots inside the box	6
0	Goalkeeper saves	4
7	Corners	2
1	Offsides	2
58%	Possession	42%
425	Passes	299
335	Accurate passes

What we expected, and what happened

Shots Sarpsborg 08 FF 17 · Start 7; on target 5 and 1.
Sarpsborg 08 FF kept the ball more (58%).

Unavailable players

Sarpsborg 08 FF

F. Carstensenout · injury
J. Bergetout · injury
P. Reinhardsenout · Ankle Injury
S. Christiansenout · injury

Start

F. Palerudout · injury
J. Meyerout · Groin Injury
J. Torkildsenout · injury
S. Mvoueout · Shoulder Injury

Provider data — may change until the line-ups are announced. Last updated: Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:10.

Referee

Mohammad Usman Aslam, Norway→

3.90

yellows per match

0.30

reds per match

matches of data

Model prediction

No probability is published for this match.

One of the teams has only 2 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.

8	Fouls	15

0	Yellow cards	3

0	Red cards	0

Week 3 of the season. This prediction was computed from previous seasons. Summer transfers, budget changes and squad rebuilds aren't in the ratings yet — the model can only see that a team has been rebuilt once new results come in.

We measured this: the bias is only pronounced in the opening week. In this week the model's overall accuracy does not separate from the rest of the season — that is, we found no measurable flaw. The one tendency across all opening weeks is that home wins are called slightly too often (said 43.0%, got 41.9%; n=583).

This sample is small and not statistically established, which is why we do not correct the model for it. The correction we tried (pulling probabilities toward the league average) didn't win on holdout, so it wasn't added. Read opening-week predictions with a little more caution.