← Fixtures
Eredivisie · Netherlands · Regular Season - 8
AZ Alkmaar–
Telstar
2–1
HT 2–0
- Kick-off
- Sunday, 5 October 2025 at 14:45
- Status
- Match Finished
- Venue
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
What the model said, and what happened
Prediction correct
This verdict goes into the public record unchanged; we do not filter out the ones we get wrong. The model's track record
Goals and red cards
- 15'AZ AlkmaarMexx Meerdink (penalty)
- 45'AZ AlkmaarM. Sin
- 61'TelstarTyrese Noslin (assist: Kay Tejan)
Match statistics
| AZ Alkmaar | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 23 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 4 | Goalkeeper saves | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 59% | Possession | 41% |
| 463 | Passes | 322 |
| 387 | Accurate passes |
What we expected, and what happened
- Shots AZ Alkmaar 28 · Telstar 14; on target 10 and 5.
- AZ Alkmaar kept the ball more (59%).
Referee
Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands→3.50
yellows per match
0.50
reds per match
2
matches of data
2 matches is a small sample — these averages are noisy and should not be read as a tendency.
Model prediction
No probability is published for this match.
One of the teams has only 7 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.