← Fixtures
1. Lig · Turkey · Regular Season - 4
Mardin 1969–
Vanspor FK
1–1
HT 0–0
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 29 August 2026 at 18:30
- Status
- Match Finished
What the model said, and what happened
Ended level — we gave the draw 24%double chance: correct
This verdict goes into the public record unchanged; we do not filter out the ones we get wrong. The model's track record
Goals and red cards
- 60'Mardin 1969O. Kayode
- 90+2'Mardin 1969M. Sengul · red card
- 90+3'Vanspor FKM. Maniş
Match statistics
| Mardin 1969 | Vanspor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 0 | Goalkeeper saves | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 55% | Possession | 45% |
| 407 | Passes | 342 |
| 330 | Accurate passes |
What we expected, and what happened
- Shots Mardin 1969 16 · Vanspor FK 8; on target 5 and 1.
- Mardin 1969 kept the ball more (55%).
Referee
Alpaslan Sen, Türkiye→3.67
yellows per match
0.17
reds per match
6
matches of data
6 matches is a small sample — these averages are noisy and should not be read as a tendency.
Model prediction
No probability is published for this match.
One of the teams has only 3 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.