← Fixtures
Ligue 2 · France · Regular Season - 6
- Kick-off
- Friday, 19 September 2025 at 18:00
- Status
- Match Finished
- Venue
- Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
What the model said, and what happened
Ended level — we gave the draw 28%double chance: correct
This verdict goes into the public record unchanged; we do not filter out the ones we get wrong. The model's track record
Goals and red cards
- 17'DunkerqueAntoine Sekongo (assist: E. Bardeli)
- 29'Le MansMalang Gomes · red card
- 36'Le MansL. Calodat
- 56'DunkerqueE. Bardeli (assist: M. Essimi Ateba)
- 69'DunkerqueOpa Sanganté · red card
- 78'Le MansE. Colas
Match statistics
| Dunkerque | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 3 | Goalkeeper saves | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 66% | Possession | 34% |
| 590 | Passes | 292 |
| 515 | Accurate passes |
What we expected, and what happened
- Shots Dunkerque 15 · Le Mans 8; on target 5 and 5.
- Dunkerque kept the ball more (66%).
Referee
M. Lesage→3.93
yellows per match
0.25
reds per match
59
matches of data
Model prediction
No probability is published for this match.
One of the teams has only 5 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.