← Fixtures
Championship · England · Regular Season - 5
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 13 September 2025 at 11:30
- Status
- Match Finished
- Venue
- The Valley, London
What the model said, and what happened
Ended level — we gave the draw 30%
This verdict goes into the public record unchanged; we do not filter out the ones we get wrong. The model's track record
Goals and red cards
- 40'CharltonS. Carey
- 74'CharltonK. Ramsay · red card
- 88'MillwallR. Bangura-Williams
Match statistics
| Charlton | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 2 | Goalkeeper saves | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 36% | Possession | 64% |
| 230 | Passes | 420 |
| 126 | Accurate passes |
What we expected, and what happened
- Shots Charlton 14 · Millwall 15; on target 3 and 3.
- Millwall kept the ball more (64%).
Referee
R. Madley→4.48
yellows per match
0.21
reds per match
56
matches of data
Model prediction
No probability is published for this match.
One of the teams has only 4 matches in this league (at least 10 are required). A percentage produced from thin data is a guess dressed as certainty — we don't show it.