Ararat-Armenia–Sparta Praha

1–4

HT 0–2

Kick-off: Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 16:45
Status: Match Finished

Goals and red cards

20'Sparta PrahaTobias Kvalvagnes Guddal (assist: Adam Karabec)
22'Sparta PrahaTobias Kvalvagnes Guddal
53'Sparta PrahaJohn Mercado (assist: Josimar Alcócer)
55'Ararat-ArmeniaBruno Wilson (assist: Sandro Lima)
71'Sparta PrahaPatrik Vydra (assist: Matěj Jurásek)

Match statistics

Match statistics
Ararat-Armenia		Sparta Praha
13	Shots	23
2	Shots on target	8
10	Shots inside the box	14
3	Goalkeeper saves	1
2	Corners	12
2	Offsides	2
41%	Possession	59%
333	Passes	449
277	Accurate passes

What we expected, and what happened

Shots Ararat-Armenia 13 · Sparta Praha 23; on target 2 and 8.
Sparta Praha kept the ball more (59%).

Announced lineup

Ararat-Armenia

Formation: 4-3-3 · Manager: Tulipa

Starting XI

João Bravimgoalkeeper
Edgar Grigoryandefender
Bruno Wilsondefender
Alexandros Malisdefender
Junior Juliodefender
Bernardo Diasmidfielder
Karen Muradyanmidfielder
Hugo Oliveiramidfielder
Zidane Banjaquiforward
Sandro Limaforward
Artur Serobyanforward

Substitutes

Alioune Ndour

Unavailable players

Sparta Praha

A. Sevinskyout · red-card suspension
E. Cobbautout · Groin Injury
E. Uchennaout · Groin Injury
J. Martinecout · Health problems
K. Hoeverout · Hip Injury
M. Andersenout · Knee Injury
O. Penxaout · Knee Injury
S. Mannsverkout · Knee Injury

Provider data — may change until the line-ups are announced. Last updated: Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 15:10.

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden→

2.90

yellows per match

0.15

reds per match

matches of data

Model prediction

No probability is published for this match.

Only 0 matches of data exist in this league before this date. A rating computed from that little data is nothing but noise.

15	Fouls	16

1	Yellow cards	0

0	Red cards	0

Sparta Praha

Formation: 4-3-3 · Manager: Brian Priske

Starting XI

Jakub Surovčíkgoalkeeper
Matěj Rynešdefender
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddaldefender
Loïc Mbe Sohdefender
Martin Suchomeldefender
Hugo Sochurekmidfielder
Roman Macekmidfielder
Adam Karabecmidfielder
Josimar Alcócerforward
Jonatan Braut Brunesforward
John Mercadoforward

Substitutes

Andy Irving
Ebrima Singhateh
Jaroslav Zelený
Joao Grimaldo
Krisztián Hegyi
Lukas Franc
Matěj Jurásek
Matyáš Vojta
Patrik Vydra
Pavel Kadeřábek
Santiago Eneme
Viktor Vitályos

Week 1 of the season. This prediction was computed from previous seasons. Summer transfers, budget changes and squad rebuilds aren't in the ratings yet — the model can only see that a team has been rebuilt once new results come in.

We measured this and we're not hiding it: in the opening week of past seasons the model came in 3.3 points below the accuracy it claimed (n=220) — for the rest of the season it beats its own claim. The tendency points this way, though it is not proof on its own: in the opening week it slightly over-calls home wins (said 42.7%, got 39.5%) and slightly under-calls draws (said 26.1%, got 28.2%).

This sample is small and not statistically established, which is why we do not correct the model for it. The correction we tried (pulling probabilities toward the league average) didn't win on holdout, so it wasn't added. Read opening-week predictions with a little more caution.