League · Cyprus

1. Division 2024-25 statistics

2024-25 season

Matches played: 211
Goals per match: 2.63
Home win: 45%
Draw: 24%
Away win: 31%
3+ goals: 51%
Both teams scored: 45%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pafos	36	26	4	6	67	21	+46	82
2	Aris	36	22	9	5	66	31	+35	75
3	Omonia Nicosia	36	20	8	8	69	40	+29	68
4	AEK Larnaca	36	19	11	6	58	30	+28	68
5	Apoel Nicosia	36	14	11	11	59	36	+23	53
6	Apollon Limassol	36	12	10	14	37	39	-2	46
7	Anorthosis	26	10	7	9	34	33	+1	37
8	Ethnikos Achna	26	6	11	9	33	42	-9	29
9	Karmiotissa	26	7	6	13	26	51	-25	27
10	Omonia Aradippou	26	7	5	14	23	49	-26	26
11	AEL	26	6	6	14	26	46	-20	24
12	Enosis	26	5	4	17	18	41	-23	19
13	Nea Salamis	26	4	5	17	22	52	-30	17
14	Omonia 29is Maiou	26	3	5	18	19	46	-27	14

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	379	66%
≥ 60%	233	70%
≥ 70%	128	74%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	698	84%
≥ 80%	455	86%
≥ 85%	275	89%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	558	53%
≥ 55%	230	58%
≥ 60%	67	63%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 57%
Always pick home: 44%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 78%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 22% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 693. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →

2024-25 season

Table

Teams in this league

The model's record in this league

And if it had to answer every match?

Upcoming matches