League · Serbia

Super Liga 2024-25 statistics

2024-25 season

Matches played: 268
Goals per match: 2.90
Home win: 41%
Draw: 23%
Away win: 35%
3+ goals: 56%
Both teams scored: 56%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	37	32	4	1	123	35	+88	100
2	FK Partizan	37	21	10	6	73	40	+33	73
3	Novi Pazar	37	15	9	13	60	65	-5	54
4	Vojvodina	37	14	11	12	57	49	+8	53
5	Radnicki 1923	37	15	8	14	60	53	+7	53
6	OFK Beograd	37	15	8	14	53	54	-1	53
7	TSC Backa Topola	37	15	5	17	59	58	+1	50
8	Mladost Lucani	37	12	11	14	38	48	-10	47
9	Cukaricki	30	10	9	11	37	40	-3	39
10	IMT Novi Beograd	30	10	7	13	37	46	-9	37
11	Železničar Pančevo	30	9	8	13	37	37	0	35
12	Napredak	30	9	8	13	29	40	-11	35
13	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	30	8	10	12	26	40	-14	34
14	Radnicki NIS	30	8	8	14	40	59	-19	32
15	Tekstilac Odžaci	30	9	4	17	25	52	-27	31
16	Jedinstvo Ub	30	4	4	22	22	60	-38	16

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	504	64%
≥ 60%	315	70%
≥ 70%	187	76%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	947	83%
≥ 80%	615	87%
≥ 85%	384	91%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	1140	55%
≥ 55%	614	59%
≥ 60%	241	63%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 55%
Always pick home: 44%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 75%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 25% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 948. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →

2024-25 season

Table

Teams in this league

The model's record in this league

And if it had to answer every match?

Upcoming matches