League · Turkey

Süper Lig 2023-24 statistics

2023-24 season

Matches played: 380
Goals per match: 2.79
Home win: 46%
Draw: 26%
Away win: 28%
3+ goals: 51%
Both teams scored: 55%

Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	38	33	3	2	92	26	+66	102
2	Fenerbahçe	38	31	6	1	99	31	+68	99
3	Trabzonspor	38	21	4	13	68	51	+17	67
4	Başakşehir	38	18	7	13	57	43	+14	61
5	Beşiktaş	38	16	8	14	52	47	+5	56
6	Kasımpaşa	38	16	8	14	62	65	-3	56
7	Sivasspor	38	14	12	12	47	54	-7	54
8	Alanyaspor	38	12	16	10	53	50	+3	52
9	Rizespor	38	14	8	16	48	58	-10	50
10	Antalyaspor	38	12	13	13	44	49	-5	49
11	Kayserispor	38	11	12	15	44	57	-13	45
12	Adana Demirspor	38	10	14	14	54	61	-7	44
13	Gaziantep FK	38	12	8	18	50	57	-7	44
14	Samsunspor	38	11	10	17	42	52	-10	43
15	Hatayspor	38	9	14	15	45	52	-7	41
16	Konyaspor	38	9	14	15	40	53	-13	41
17	Fatih Karagümrük	38	10	10	18	49	52	-3	40
18	Ankaragücü	38	8	16	14	46	52	-6	40
19	Pendikspor	38	9	10	19	42	73	-31	37
20	İstanbulspor	38	4	7	27	28	79	-51	19

The table is computed from match results; matches decided by forfeit count with the score declared by the federation. Points deducted or awarded separately are not reflected. Only regular-season matches count — play-offs and relegation matches are excluded.

Teams in this league

Every team in this season's fixture list. Unlike the standings table, teams that have not played yet also appear here.

Season simulation

The remaining fixtures were played out 10,000 times using the model's current probabilities. Percentages below are how often each team finished in that position.

Team	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Pts (avg)
Galatasaray	66.5%	98.1%	0.0%	71.1
Fenerbahçe	20.3%	86.9%	0.0%	64.4
Başakşehir	5.9%	64.0%	0.0%	59.1
Beşiktaş	4.3%	54.8%	0.1%	57.5
Trabzonspor	1.7%	36.3%	0.3%	54.3
Amed	0.7%	22.1%	0.8%	51.4
Samsunspor	0.4%	14.5%	1.6%	49.3
Göztepe	0.2%	10.4%	3.0%	47.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.	0.0%	3.0%	9.6%	43.3
Alanyaspor	0.0%	2.8%	10.0%	42.9
Çorum FK	0.0%	2.0%	11.9%	42.1
Rizespor	0.0%	1.9%	13.7%	41.6
Kasımpaşa	0.0%	1.7%	13.9%	41.5
Eyüpspor	0.0%	0.8%	24.5%	38.7
Konyaspor	0.0%	0.3%	31.7%	37.2
Gaziantep FK	0.0%	0.3%	41.0%	35.7
Kocaelispor	0.0%	0.1%	54.5%	33.4
Erzurumspor FK	0.0%	0.0%	83.4%	28.0

Method: ratings are frozen as of the run date; ties break by points-GD-goals, country-specific rules not applied. Pairings below the publishing threshold use the model's prior rating. The table refreshes whenever the script is re-run.

Generated: 2026-08-23 · 3 · 10,000

The model's record in this league

The model's claim is not “I know every match” — it is “I know where I'm confident”. Measured in this league:

Match result
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	591	70%
≥ 60%	305	77%
≥ 70%	141	82%

Double chance
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 75%	1160	86%
≥ 80%	616	90%
≥ 85%	306	92%

Goals markets
Model at least	Predictions	Realised
≥ 50%	2089	58%
≥ 55%	1425	61%
≥ 60%	706	66%

And if it had to answer every match?

Model: 56%
Always pick home: 45%
Picking at random: 33%
Reachable ceiling: 75%

Why that ceiling is not 100%: 25% of matches in this league end in a draw, and a draw is almost never the single most likely outcome on its own. So one “accuracy” figure cannot be read on its own — it is read next to these anchors.

Matches measured: 1266. The thresholds were not cherry-picked — all of them are shown. Incorrect predictions are included and none are hidden.

Full track record →